How long will Fortnite's first maintenance from October 8 through October 15 take?
Step chart of the market's chances on a fixed scale from 0 to 100 percent. A chance holds until the next prediction or edit. Times use your local time zone. Outcome buttons pick the line on a two-outcome market or show and hide lines on others. Arrow keys read every outcome, including hidden lines; Home and End jump to the ends; Escape closes the tooltip. A table with the exact points follows.
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Rules
Predict the duration of the first qualifying public Fortnite maintenance event in the chosen window.
Use the public maintenance history at https://status.epicgames.com/. Select the first scheduled-maintenance event affecting Fortnite Game Services or Matchmaking whose actual In progress update is timestamped from 2026-10-08T00:00:00.000Z through but excluding 2026-10-16T00:00:00.000Z. Measure elapsed time from that actual In progress timestamp to the event's actual Completed timestamp, not its planned schedule. Under three hours means less than 180 minutes; Three hours or longer means at least 180 minutes. The 180-minute cutoff is an authored market threshold. No maintenance means the complete public history shows no qualifying actual start. Unscheduled incidents, maintenance affecting only another game, and cancelled maintenance that never starts do not qualify. Equal start times are ordered by full event URL alphabetically. Preserve the event page and all UTC status timestamps. Resolution deadline: 2026-10-18T00:00:00.000Z. Cancel and refund tickets if the chosen event is not complete by the deadline, either actual timestamp is missing, or history coverage cannot be established.
- ClosesOct 7, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
- Checked againstStaff review
- Each winning sharePays 1 ticket